A Preliminary Look from Washington at Colombia’s New Direction and Security Challenges

Abstract

This work examines the likely direction of the Gustavo Petro administration in Colombia in the arena of economic, security and foreign policy, and associated challenges. Its analysis is based on key personnel appointments, statements, and initial policy actions. It argues that the administration will likely have the will, personnel, and legislative support to at least partially implement its agenda of radical change. Its ability to avoid economic deterioration and capital flight, implement the “total peace” which it seeks, and avoid a deteriorating security situation and weakened military and police capabilities will be critical.  The basis of its relationship with the U.S. will also shift, creating tensions, but both sides will work to maintain a positive tone.